IPL 2023: What are the qualification scenarios for each team after the clash between PBKS vs DC

The 2023 IPL has been enthralling to say the least. We are in the last week of the IPL yet only one team Gujarat has qualified for the playoffs. With inly 6 group stage matches remaining, all other teams except the SRH and DC have the chance of qualifying for the playoffs. Let us see how each team still has the chance to qualify for the playoffs.

Mumbai Indians

Mumbai Indians
Mumbai Indians

Mumbai Indians faced a slight setback with their defeat against Lucknow, but Punjab Kings’ loss to Delhi Capitals has improved their chances significantly. However, there is still a scenario where Mumbai could be eliminated even if they win their last game. If both CSK and LSG win their respective final league games and RCB wins both of theirs, Mumbai is highly likely to fall behind RCB in terms of NRR, even if they defeat Sunrisers Hyderabad in their remaining match. 

To surpass RCB’s NRR, Mumbai would need to beat Sunrisers Hyderabad by around 80 runs if RCB’s combined winning margin in their last two matches is just 10 runs. The best-case scenario for Mumbai is to beat Sunrisers Hyderabad and reach 16 points, while hoping that no more than two out of CSK, LSG, and RCB win all their remaining games. If Mumbai loses to Sunrisers Hyderabad and stays at 14 points, they would need RCB to lose at least one match by a significant margin to decrease their NRR below Mumbai’s.

Remaining fixtures:

  • Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad in Mumbai on May 21.

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The 2023 IPL has been enthralling to say the least. We are in the last week of the IPL yet only one team Gujarat has qualified for the playoffs. With inly 6 group stage matches remaining, all other teams except the SRH and DC have the chance of qualifying for the playoffs. Let us see how each team still has the chance to qualify for the playoffs.

Mumbai Indians

Mumbai Indians
Mumbai Indians

Mumbai Indians faced a slight setback with their defeat against Lucknow, but Punjab Kings' loss to Delhi Capitals has improved their chances significantly. However, there is still a scenario where Mumbai could be eliminated even if they win their last game. If both CSK and LSG win their respective final league games and RCB wins both of theirs, Mumbai is highly likely to fall behind RCB in terms of NRR, even if they defeat Sunrisers Hyderabad in their remaining match. 

To surpass RCB's NRR, Mumbai would need to beat Sunrisers Hyderabad by around 80 runs if RCB's combined winning margin in their last two matches is just 10 runs. The best-case scenario for Mumbai is to beat Sunrisers Hyderabad and reach 16 points, while hoping that no more than two out of CSK, LSG, and RCB win all their remaining games. If Mumbai loses to Sunrisers Hyderabad and stays at 14 points, they would need RCB to lose at least one match by a significant margin to decrease their NRR below Mumbai's.

Remaining fixtures:

  • Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad in Mumbai on May 21.

Chennai Super Kings

Chennai Super Kings
Chennai Super Kings

Chennai Super Kings suffered an unexpected defeat against Kolkata Knight Riders, temporarily halting their progress. However, the four-time champions still have control over their fate. A victory against Delhi Capitals in their final league game will secure them a playoff spot and most likely a top-two finish due to their superior NRR compared to LSG, who could potentially tie with them at 17 points. If CSK loses to Delhi Capitals, they would need no more than two out of LSG, RCB, or MI to surpass them.

Remaining fixtures:

  • Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitals in Delhi on May 20.

Royal Challengers Bangalore

Royal Challengers Bangalore
Royal Challengers Bangalore

Royal Challengers Bangalore received a much-needed boost with their 112-run victory in Jaipur, reviving their struggling campaign. This win not only kept their chances of finishing with 16 points alive but also improved their NRR from -0.345 to +0.166. If they win their last two matches, they are almost certain to qualify due to the significant progress they have made in their NRR. If they win only one match, they would need Mumbai to lose their last game. In that case, NRR will be the deciding factor, and Bangalore has an advantage over their opponents in that regard. Bangalore plays the final league fixture and will have the advantage of knowing the exact NRR scenario

Remaining fixtures

  • Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Sunrisers Hyderabad, May 18
  • Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans, Bengaluru, May 21

Lucknow Super Giants

Lucknow Super Giants
Lucknow Super Giants

Lucknow secured their position in the league table with a win against Mumbai in their final home game. If they win their upcoming match at Eden Gardens against Kolkata Knight Riders on Saturday, they will secure a spot in the playoffs and possibly finish in the top two, provided Chennai Super Kings (CSK) either lose to Delhi Capitals or win with an inferior Net Run Rate (NRR) compared to Lucknow Super Giants. However, if Lucknow loses to Kolkata Knight Riders, they will need at least two out of CSK, Mumbai Indians (MI), and Royal Challengers Bangalore (RCB) to not exceed 15 points in order to progress.

If CSK defeats Delhi Capitals by 20 runs after scoring 170, Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) would need to win by approximately 40 runs to surpass CSK's NRR and secure a top-two finish.

On the other hand, if CSK loses to Delhi Capitals by 30 runs after scoring 170, LSG should lose to Kolkata Knight Riders by 12 runs or fewer to have a superior NRR than CSK and progress.

LSG's final league match is scheduled after CSK's, which gives them an advantage of knowing the exact NRR equation.

Remaining fixtures:

  • LSG vs Kolkata Knight Riders in Kolkata on May 2.

Punjab Kings

Punjab Kings
Punjab Kings

Punjab Kings' chances of making it to the playoffs took a significant hit with their 15-run defeat to Delhi Capitals, causing their NRR to decrease to -0.308. In their next match against Rajasthan Royals, a victory would take them to 14 points but would require several other results to go their way. Ideally, they would want MI and RCB to finish with no more than 14 points, with RCB at 12 points being the best scenario considering the difference in NRR. They would also hope that Kolkata Knight Riders do not catch up with them on the same points if there is a tie at 14 points.

If Punjab Kings defeats Rajasthan Royals by 30 runs after scoring 200, their NRR would be -0.168. They would then need Sunrisers Hyderabad to beat Mumbai Indians by at least 21 runs and Kolkata Knight Riders to either lose to LSG or win by no more than 17 runs (assuming 161-run targets in both cases). Surpassing RCB's NRR would be virtually impossible for PBKS, especially with RCB having the advantage of playing the last league game.

Remaining fixtures:

  • Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals in Dharamsala on May 19.

Rajasthan Royals

Rajasthan Royals
Rajasthan Royals

Rajasthan Royals' performance has declined in the latter half of the season, losing six out of their last eight matches. They currently have 12 points and can potentially finish with a maximum of 14 points. However, Titans, Super Kings, and Super Giants are already ahead of them, which means they would need to defeat Punjab Kings and hope that Bangalore and Mumbai lose at least one more game each, resulting in a maximum of 14 points for both teams. Rajasthan and Punjab face each other in the first match of the final set of league fixtures, which gives them little advantage in knowing the exact NRR scenario.

Remaining fixtures:

  • Rajasthan Royals vs Punjab Kings in Dharamsala on May 19.

Kolkata Knight Riders

Kolkata Knight Riders
Kolkata Knight Riders

Kolkata Knight Riders have kept their hopes alive with a victory against CSK, breaking an 11-year streak of losses against them. They can reach a maximum of 14 points and secure the fourth spot in the playoffs if other results go their way. After Punjab's defeat to DC, limiting them to a maximum of 14 points, KKR now needs RCB to lose at least one of their remaining games and for Sunrisers to defeat Mumbai without going past 14 points. In that case, NRR will be the determining factor. Currently, KKR's NRR of -0.256 is behind that of Mumbai's -0.128, Bangalore's +0.166, and Rajasthan's +0.140 among the teams that could potentially tie with them at 14 points. If KKR loses to Lucknow in their last group match, they will be eliminated.

Remaining fixtures:

  • Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants in Kolkata on May 20.

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